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kimshep
A snapshot of April .. and how bad things are for each of the prime manufacturers.

QUOTE ('Reuters')
Airbus Leads Boeing In Slow Race For Orders

May 11, 2009

Airbus sold three planes and took upgraded orders for five more in April, maintaining a lead over Boeing, which scrubbed from its order book more than two dozen 787 Dreamliners in the last week, the companies said.

Airbus said it had sold an unadjusted total of eight wide-body aircraft in April and none of the single-haul A320-family jets that make up the backbone of many airline fleets in competition with the Boeing 737.

The eight aircraft sold include five A350 XWBs for India's Kingfisher Airlines, but these were offset in the order book by the cancellation of five orders by the same airline for an earlier model of the A350 that didn't go into development.

Airbus sold three A330s worth USD$181 million each at list prices.

These included one to International Lease Finance Corporation, traditionally one of the world's largest aircraft buyers which has been largely sidelined as parent AIG, the troubled US insurer, seeks a buyer for ILFC to help repay federal aid.

The April tally means that Airbus has so far this year sold a net total of 11 planes after cancellations for 19 aircraft.

Airbus leads a slow race for orders against Boeing, which said customers cancelled orders for 26 planes -- including 25 787 Dreamliners -- in the week ended May 5 but also took 18 new orders.

Boeing Commercial Airplanes now has one net cancellation for the year. Boeing did not say which customers cancelled orders for the delayed 787.

The company has said it is on track for its first 787 flight by the end of June.

In Thursday's report, Boeing said it received orders for five 777s from Turkish Airlines in the last week and 13 737s from an unidentified customer.

PRODUCTION CUTS

New business has plummeted 97 percent since the same point last year when Airbus had already sold a net 397 aircraft.

Both Airbus and Boeing ended 2008 with record backlogs of some 4,000 planes apiece but face the prospect of cancellations and forced cuts in output as travel and cargo demand slumps.

Airlines body IATA warned last week that the H1N1 flu would worsen problems for airlines, already hard hit by the global crisis which pushed passenger travel down 11.1 percent in March.

The disease was reported in Mexico in the last week of April and began spreading worldwide.

Many airlines had already deferred plans to renew their fleets as they focus on a battle for market share and survival.

Finland's Finnair said on Thursday there was an accelerated fall in fares to attract passengers.

On Wednesday, Airbus announced a cut in planned deliveries for its flagship A380 superjumbo, saying airlines were requesting deferrals due to the drop in demand.

It repeated, however, that it would deliver about the same number of aircraft overall in 2009 as last year's record 483.

In February, Airbus said it would cut A320-family single-aisle production to 34 a month from 36 in October.

Airbus said Thursday it had delivered 46 aircraft in April, bringing the total so far this year to 162.

Boeing said last month output of its 777 wide-body jet would fall to five planes a month from seven starting in June 2010.

Kingfisher's decision to upgrade closes an awkward chapter for Airbus after its original blueprint for the A350 proved unpopular compared with Boeing's hot-selling 787.

After false starts, sales of the mid-sized plane took off when Airbus opted for a costly redesign and Kingfisher was the last of the original buyers to upgrade to the newer version.

(Reuters)


It appears that 2009 will undoubtedly mark the finite 'fall' point in both orders and deliveries for both major manufacturers - from an upward cycle that has uncharacteristically lasted more years than most of us would have expected.
ConcordeBoy
QUOTE (kimshep @ May 11 2009, 08:33 PM) *
an upward cycle that has uncharacteristically lasted more years than most of us would have expected.

I disagree on that last part... would say that that up-cycle was more than expected, as many airlines had endured/gone through two close back-to-back downcycles (9/11 then the Iraq War downturn) without ordering, or having suspended their orders. They had to do something.

That's also why I think we're going to see another (forced, if nothing else) up-cycle in relative short order, as the largest USA carriers (if no one else) can't continue flying 25yr-old+ aircraft with nothing to replace them even in the pipeline. NW vis-a-vis the D9 was an outlying example that I don't believe would work under today's economic conditions.
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