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Jet Blast
http://www.reuters.com/article/idCNTFA00653820091221?rpc=44

QUOTE
Japan's ANA to place orders for 10 Boeing planes

TOKYO, Dec 21 (Reuters) - All Nippon Airways (9202.T), Japan's second largest air carrier, said on Monday that it would buy a total 10 planes from Boeing (BA.N) for about 185 billion yen ($2.1 billion).

ANA said it will place an order for five Boeing 777-200ER jets, to be delivered between April 2012 and March 2014, and another five 767-300 ER models, to be delivered between April 2010 and March 2012.
Jet Blast
Updated article:

http://www.reuters.com/article/idCNTOE5BK08E20091221?rpc=44

QUOTE
UPDATE 1-Japan's ANA to place orders for 10 Boeing jets

(Adds background)

TOKYO, Dec 21 (Reuters) - Japan's All Nippon Airways (9202.T) formally decided on Monday to order 10 planes from Boeing (BA.N) for about $2.1 billion to tap new passenger demand as Tokyo's Haneda airport expands.

Japan's second-largest carrier said that it will place a 185 billion yen order for five Boeing 777-200ER jets, to be delivered between April 2012 and March 2014, and another five 767-300 ER models, to be delivered between April 2010 and March 2012.

ANA said in July that it would raise $1.5 billion yen to revamp its fleet with new Boeing jets, including an additional order for Boeing's 787 Dreamliner. [ID:nT105398]

ANA hopes to grab growth while bigger rival Japan Airlines (9205.T) downsizes.

It said that Monday's order, which was included in its July fundraising plan, would not affect its annual outlook for a tumble to a 20 billion yen operating loss for the year to March. ($1=90.36 Yen)
DAL767-400ER
Sounds like another measure to cover for the 787 delays. Not bad though, finally a new order for the 772 again, and another way for Boeing to use the 767 line until the tanker deal is finally decided in 2578 happy.gif.
Stitch
The 787-3 is likely not going to enter service before 2015, so this would allow NH to replace their oldest 767 and 777 frames currently performing domestic and regional operations. Also, I expect the 28 787-3s they have on order are not enough to replace the fleet currently tasked to those duties, so NH will likely be flying them far longer than 2-5 years.
Jacobin777
QUOTE (Stitch @ Dec 21 2009, 07:00 AM) *
The 787-3 is likely not going to enter service before 2015, so this would allow NH to replace their oldest 767 and 777 frames currently performing domestic and regional operations. Also, I expect the 28 787-3s they have on order are not enough to replace the fleet currently tasked to those duties, so NH will likely be flying them far longer than 2-5 years.


...according to the article, it states its going to be replacing some of their B744's....but I thought, according to the other site, NH was "this" close of purchasing 12+12 or 6+6 (or whatever the bloody 'ell it was) Whales..... shifty.gif whistling.gif

Snarky comments aside, I'm not so sure how this bodes for NH's future VLA plans for the the foreseeable future... dry.gif

Stitch
Well NH is going almost ridiculously low density with their new "Inspiration of Japan" 77W cabin, so if they put that in the 77E, it would be around half of what their current 744 fleet is equipped for.

NH appears to have 10 744Ds still in their fleet, so it's possible these ten planes will be configured as a domestic replacement, assuming NH no longer needs 500 seats on these routes?
Jacobin777
QUOTE (Stitch @ Dec 21 2009, 02:04 PM) *
Well NH is going almost ridiculously low density with their new "Inspiration of Japan" 77W cabin, so if they put that in the 77E, it would be around half of what their current 744 fleet is equipped for.

NH appears to have 10 744Ds still in their fleet, so it's possible these ten planes will be configured as a domestic replacement, assuming NH no longer needs 500 seats on these routes?


While not directly addressing your comments, I wonder how their "Inspiration of Japan" 77W cabin is going to pan out in terms of yields and revenues. At least they have the option of adding more seats again if they need to. The article did mention they are adding five B77Es to replace 3 B744's.....I've never done an NH seat count so I don't know how many seats (in each class) of capacity will be removed with NH.

Also, given the current JL dilemma, I wouldn't be surprised if NH takes advantage of it.
Stitch
QUOTE (Jacobin777 @ Dec 21 2009, 02:22 PM) *
While not directly addressing your comments, I wonder how their "Inspiration of Japan" 77W cabin is going to pan out in terms of yields and revenues.



I believe that it is a sign that NH, having performed due diligence modeling of their traffic patterns, have decided that rather then chasing raw numbers with a 500-seat A380 or 400-seat 747-8, depending on volume to make a profit, they have identified enough core customers who will fly NH regardless of other options and are price-insenstive. Therefore, NH will provide them an exceptional onboard experience in both hard and soft product and those customers will pay for it.

So they will fly a good deal less people a day between NRT and CDG, FRA or LHR with their 77W than AF, LH or BA will with an A388, but NH will still make a profit on every one of them. And with only 200 seats, they will not be susceptible to traffic fluctuations.
Jacobin777
QUOTE (Stitch @ Dec 22 2009, 08:02 AM) *
QUOTE (Jacobin777 @ Dec 21 2009, 02:22 PM) *
While not directly addressing your comments, I wonder how their "Inspiration of Japan" 77W cabin is going to pan out in terms of yields and revenues.



I believe that it is a sign that NH, having performed due diligence modeling of their traffic patterns, have decided that rather then chasing raw numbers with a 500-seat A380 or 400-seat 747-8, depending on volume to make a profit, they have identified enough core customers who will fly NH regardless of other options and are price-insenstive. Therefore, NH will provide them an exceptional onboard experience in both hard and soft product and those customers will pay for it.

So they will fly a good deal less people a day between NRT and CDG, FRA or LHR with their 77W than AF, LH or BA will with an A388, but NH will still make a profit on every one of them. And with only 200 seats, they will not be susceptible to traffic fluctuations.


That certainly sounds like a good analysis. thumbsup.gif

What you missed however is that once AF starts flying their Whales CDG-NRT, then NH have to order the A380 as well "to keep up with Joneses".. 1laugh.gif
kimshep
More likely .. it sounds to me like the artificially restricted capacity (on domestic and regional Asian routes) will only push up ANA and JAL pricing structures. Not a good (or smart) move, in my view ~ particularly if such fare rises push your regional international passengers into the arms of competitors.

The other point to remember here is that the Japanese airports work on the basis of take-off and landing weight charges, rather than the actual number of passengers carried ..
Stitch
But you only need 200 people a flight willing to pay those fares, kimshep. Heck, when you just count Economy Class passengers (who are the ones who would be most price-sensitive), that's only 100 people a flight. Out of a population as large as Japan's, surely that is not an impossible task for NH to achieve?

The folks who want lower fares will choose the A380 - though how this can be when A380 supporters keep noting the fare premiums people are paying to fly on her... huh.gif

I like the A380. It's a great plane to fly in. But I believe NH can survive without operating one. I believe they can make this work.
kimshep
QUOTE (Stitch @ Dec 24 2009, 03:07 AM) *
But you only need 200 people a flight willing to pay those fares, kimshep. Heck, when you just count Economy Class passengers (who are the ones who would be most price-sensitive), that's only 100 people a flight. Out of a population as large as Japan's, surely that is not an impossible task for NH to achieve?

That's 100 less (low fare, economy) passengers to cover weight-based take-off and landing charges, that would appear not to be a great deal less than A380 weight. This factor alone would be destined to push up passenger fares IMO.

QUOTE (Stitch @ Dec 24 2009, 03:07 AM) *
The folks who want lower fares will choose the A380 - though how this can be when A380 supporters keep noting the fare premiums people are paying to fly on her... huh.gif

.. except that, as far as I know, there has never been any finite plan to use A380-800's on pure domestic runs.

QUOTE (Stitch @ Dec 24 2009, 03:07 AM) *
I like the A380. It's a great plane to fly in. But I believe NH can survive without operating one. I believe they can make this work.


I can agree with sentences 1-3 in this quote. I'm not so sure about the last sentence ? Perhaps, it needs the word "profitably" added ?
ConcordeBoy
QUOTE (kimshep @ Dec 28 2009, 06:29 PM) *
QUOTE (Stitch @ Dec 24 2009, 03:07 AM) *
I like the A380. It's a great plane to fly in. But I believe NH can survive without operating one. I believe they can make this work.
I can agree with sentences 1-3 in this quote. I'm not so sure about the last sentence ?

...to be honest, at this point, you could switch "without" for "with" in that sentence, and make just as compelling a case.
Stitch
Why are we discussing the Japanese domestic market?

NH isn't putting their 212-seat "Inspiration of Japan" planes on domestic routes, to my knowledge.

And the whole point of flying 100 less Economy passengers is because you get rid of the low-fare ones, so you're only catering to passengers who are paying the higher Economy fare buckets. And if your 77Ws are flying lighter, you paper de-rate your TOW and LW to lower the fees you pay. And if they are not, well you're brining in more revenue per flight, so...

And yes, I expect NH could make an A388 work by pushing hard in the charter market to fill a large Economy cabin, making your money "on volume".
kimshep
QUOTE (Stitch @ Dec 30 2009, 08:25 AM) *
Why are we discussing the Japanese domestic market?


Perhaps, you might want to review / re-read posts 4,5 and 6 ?
Stitch
Well I was referring to the 77Es and 763ERs, not VLAs. I do not believe we will ever see a high-density (850 seat) A380-800 on a domestic Japanese mission and I'd be surprised if we saw one running domestically in India or China, as well. Both are more likely to choose 739ERs, A321s and perhaps even 787-3s.
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